1 min read

02/19 - Trade analysis of SCRUSDT.P

Market Summary


Market Regime

  • Risk Mode: RISK-ON
  • Volatility: MODERATE
  • Liquidity: ABUNDANT
  • Money Flow: ENTERING crypto markets

Pattern Fit

HIGH

Key Risks

  • Potential for volatility spikes affecting the trade
  • Sector rotation risk, as capital may flow out of the current market leadership
  • Sudden liquidity shifts that could invalidate the pattern

Pattern Analysis

  • Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Contracting)
  • Strength Score: MODERATE
  • Market Regime Alignment Score: HIGH

Trade Decision

  • Confidence Score: 8
  • Did Enter: true
  • Trade Direction: LONG

Trade Parameters

  • Entry Range: $0.5950 - $0.6050
  • Stop Loss: $0.5800
  • Take Profit: NA
  • Risk Reward Ratio: 1:2

Ongoing Monitoring


Invalidation Conditions

  • Breakdown below the ascending trendline support
  • Failure to hold the 20/50 EMA on the 1H timeframe
  • Sudden drop in volume below the 20-period average

Key Confirmations

  • Breakout volume surge above the 20-period average
  • 1H candle close above the 50 EMA, confirming the breakout
  • 4H timeframe aligning with the 1H bullish structure

Adjustments Based On Real Time Data

  • If the 4H timeframe starts to contradict the 1H bullish structure, consider reducing position size or exiting the trade.
  • Monitor the broader market conditions, particularly BTC and ETH price action, for any signs of a potential sector rotation that could undermine the trade setup.