02/27 - Trade analysis of APTUSDT
Market Summary
Market Regime
- Risk Mode: RISK-ON
- Volatility: MODERATE
- Liquidity: NORMAL
- Money Flow: ENTERING crypto markets
Pattern Fit
The detected Ascending Triangle (Expanding) pattern fits the current market regime well, as the risk-on environment and increasing money flow support the potential for a bullish breakout.
Key Risks
- Increased correlation to traditional risk assets
- Elevated volatility may lead to false breakouts
- Dangerous correlations with equities and other macro assets
Pattern Analysis
- Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Expanding)
- Strength Score: MODERATE
- Market Regime Alignment Score: HIGH
Trade Decision
- Confidence Score: 8
- Did Enter: true
- Trade Direction: LONG
Trade Parameters
- Entry Range: $6.20 - $6.25
- Stop Loss: $5.95
- Take Profit Target 1: $6.50
- Take Profit Target 2: $6.75
- Risk Reward Ratio: 1:2
Ongoing Monitoring
Invalidation Conditions
- Breakdown of the ascending triangle pattern support at $6.20
- Significant drop in volume on the breakout attempt
- Sudden shift in market regime (e.g., risk-off, increased volatility)
Key Confirmations
- Breakout on above-average volume
- EMA (20/50) retest and hold
- Continuation of the positive momentum on the 4-hour and daily timeframes
Adjustments Based On Real Time Data
- If the breakout is not accompanied by a significant increase in volume, consider reducing position size or tightening stop-loss.
- Monitor the 4-hour and daily timeframes for any signs of trend reversal or failure to confirm the 1-hour pattern.