Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk mode
- Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current volatility
- Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
- Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
- Macro Confidence Impact: Positive - BTC strength and USD weakness support potential upside for altcoins like RUNE
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE to this setup
- Sector Trend: NEUTRAL
- Volume Profile: CONCERNING
- Correlations: Positive correlation with BTC, negative with USD
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Expanding)
- Formation Quality: LOW
- Completion Status: EARLY-STAGE
- Historical Reliability: Moderate in risk-on environments, but current formation is weak
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: DIVERGING
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK
- Ema Relationship: Price below 20 EMA on 1H and 4H, bearish
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible
- Atr Context: Current volatility supports potential breakout, but direction unclear
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: BEARISH
- H4 Bias: BEARISH
- Daily Bias: NEUTRAL
- Alignment Score: WEAK
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: LOW - weak formation and bearish higher timeframes
- False Breakout Risk: HIGH - lack of volume and momentum
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - price near key support level
- Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering failed
Trade Decision
- Confidence Score: 4.2
- Confidence Category: LOW (0-5.9)
- Decision: NO
- Direction: NONE
- Reasoning: Weak pattern formation, bearish higher timeframes, lack of volume confirmation, and diverging RSI outweigh potential macro tailwinds
