Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk mode
- Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current volatility
- Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
- Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
- Macro Confidence Impact: The bullish BTC momentum and potential decoupling from equities increases confidence in this bullish AVAX pattern
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE to this setup
- Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
- Volume Profile: HEALTHY
- Correlations: Positive correlation with BTC, potential decoupling from equities
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Rising Wedge (Expanding)
- Formation Quality: MODERATE
- Completion Status: PARTIAL
- Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in bullish market conditions, but requires careful validation
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
- Volume Confirmation: NEUTRAL
- Ema Relationship: Price above 20 EMA on 1H, crossing above 50 EMA, below 200 EMA
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in the immediate vicinity
- Atr Context: Current volatility supports potential breakout from this pattern
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: BULLISH
- H4 Bias: NEUTRAL
- Daily Bias: BEARISH
- Alignment Score: WEAK
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: MODERATE - Pattern aligns with macro bullish sentiment but faces resistance on higher timeframes
- False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Due to bearish daily trend and weak multi-timeframe alignment
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - Support at 20.00 could be targeted
- Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 24-48 hours to maintain validity
Trade Decision
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