Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk mode
- Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current volatility
- Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
- Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
- Macro Confidence Impact: Bullish BTC momentum and potential decoupling from equities increases confidence in upside potential for altcoins like SCR
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE to this setup
- Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
- Volume Profile: MIXED
- Correlations: Potential decoupling from equities, weakening USD supportive of crypto upside
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Ascending Channel
- Formation Quality: MODERATE
- Completion Status: PARTIAL
- Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in bullish market conditions, but requires confirmation of breakout
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING with rising RSI
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK, lacking clear volume increase
- Ema Relationship: Price above 20 EMA on 1H, below 50 EMA on 4H and 1D
- Fvg Context: No significant Fair Value Gaps visible in immediate vicinity
- Atr Context: Current volatility supportive of gradual channel formation
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: BULLISH
- H4 Bias: NEUTRAL
- Daily Bias: BEARISH
- Alignment Score: WEAK
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: MODERATE - Channel formation is clear but lacks strong volume confirmation
- False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Multiple timeframe misalignment increases risk of failed breakout
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - Potential for stops below 0.4400 to be targeted
- Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering pattern failed if no clear breakout
Trade Decision
This post is for subscribers only
