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03/05 - Trade analysis of SOLUSDT.P

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk mode
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current volatility
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
  • Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Bullish BTC momentum and potential $90,000 breakout supports SOL upside

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE to this setup
  • Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
  • Volume Profile: MIXED
  • Correlations: SOL likely to follow BTC's bullish momentum

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Rising Wedge (Expanding)
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: PARTIAL
  • Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in bullish market conditions, but requires caution

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price above 20 EMA on 1H, mixed on higher timeframes
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in immediate vicinity
  • Atr Context: Current volatility supportive of pattern development

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: BULLISH
  • H4 Bias: NEUTRAL
  • Daily Bias: NEUTRAL
  • Alignment Score: MODERATE

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: MODERATE - pattern aligns with macro bullish bias but lacks strong volume confirmation
  • False Breakout Risk: MODERATE - expanding nature of wedge increases false breakout potential
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - tight consolidation near support increases stop hunt risk
  • Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering pattern failed if no breakout occurs

Trade Decision

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