1 min read

03/07 - Trade analysis of SOLUSDT.P

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Macro analysis suggests bullish bias for BTC, contradicting the bearish pattern in SOL

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
  • Sector Trend: WEAKENING
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING
  • Correlations: SOL showing weakness despite BTC strength

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Descending Triangle (Contracting)
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: COMPLETE
  • Historical Reliability: Moderate reliability in current market conditions

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price below 20, 50, and 200 EMAs on all timeframes
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible near current price
  • Atr Context: Current volatility supports potential breakout

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: BEARISH
  • H4 Bias: BEARISH
  • Daily Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: STRONG

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: MODERATE - Pattern is complete but lacks volume confirmation
  • False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Contradictory macro environment increases fakeout risk
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - 132.00 level likely to be tested
  • Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering pattern failed

Trade Decision

This post is for subscribers only