2 min read

03/09 - Trade analysis of FARTCOINUSDT

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: INSUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE
  • Macro Confidence Impact: The risk-off sentiment and bearish trend in BTC strongly support the descending channel pattern on FARTCOIN

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE
  • Sector Trend: WEAKENING
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING
  • Correlations: High correlation with SPX, negative correlation with DXY

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Descending Channel
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: COMPLETE
  • Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in risk-off, high volatility environments

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price below 20, 50, and 200 EMAs across timeframes
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in the immediate vicinity
  • Atr Context: Increased volatility supports potential for continued downtrend

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: BEARISH
  • H4 Bias: BEARISH
  • Daily Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: STRONG

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: HIGH - Strong alignment across timeframes and with macro context
  • False Breakout Risk: LOW - Clear downtrend with no signs of reversal
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - Potential for volatility spikes near support levels
  • Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 3-5 days, otherwise reassess

Trade Decision

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