Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED
- Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
- Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
- Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE
- Macro Confidence Impact: Bearish trend and risk-off sentiment strongly support potential short trade
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE
- Sector Trend: WEAKENING
- Volume Profile: MIXED
- Correlations: High correlation with SPX, negative correlation with DXY
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Diverging Triangle
- Formation Quality: MODERATE
- Completion Status: PARTIAL
- Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in bearish market conditions
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK
- Ema Relationship: Price below 20, 50, and 200 EMAs across timeframes
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in immediate vicinity
- Atr Context: Increasing volatility supports potential breakout
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: BEARISH
- H4 Bias: BEARISH
- Daily Bias: BEARISH
- Alignment Score: STRONG
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: MODERATE - Triangle nearing apex, increasing likelihood of breakout
- False Breakout Risk: MODERATE - Weak volume could lead to fakeout
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW - No clear stop clusters visible above pattern
- Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before pattern becomes invalid
Trade Decision
