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03/10 - Trade analysis of SCRUSDT.P

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE
  • Macro Confidence Impact: The bearish trend in BTC and risk-off sentiment supports a potential short trade on SCRUSDT

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE
  • Sector Trend: WEAKENING
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING
  • Correlations: SCRUSDT likely to follow BTC's bearish trend

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Diverging Triangle
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: PARTIAL
  • Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in bearish market conditions

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price below 20, 50, and 200 EMAs across timeframes
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible
  • Atr Context: Current volatility supports potential breakdown

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: BEARISH
  • H4 Bias: BEARISH
  • Daily Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: STRONG

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: MODERATE - pattern aligns with overall trend but lacks strong volume
  • False Breakout Risk: MODERATE - weak volume increases risk of false moves
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - tight consolidation may attract stop hunts
  • Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering pattern failed

Trade Decision

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