Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
- Volatility Suitability: UNSUITABLE
- Liquidity Sufficiency: INSUFFICIENT
- Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
- Macro Confidence Impact: Macro analysis strongly contradicts bullish pattern, severely reducing confidence
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
- Sector Trend: WEAKENING
- Volume Profile: CONCERNING
- Correlations: Correlated selloffs in crypto and equities
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Expanding)
- Formation Quality: LOW
- Completion Status: PARTIAL
- Historical Reliability: Poor reliability in current risk-off conditions
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: DIVERGING
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK
- Ema Relationship: Price below 20 EMA on 4H and 1D, bearish
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible
- Atr Context: Current volatility unfavorable for clean breakouts
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: NEUTRAL
- H4 Bias: BEARISH
- Daily Bias: BEARISH
- Alignment Score: CONTRADICTORY
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: LOW - pattern contradicts higher timeframe bearish trend
- False Breakout Risk: HIGH - lack of volume and macro headwinds increase fakeout probability
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - potential for stops above 0.5000 to be targeted
- Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 24-48 hours or be considered failed
Trade Decision
- Confidence Score: 3.2
- Confidence Category: LOW
- Decision: false
- Direction: NONE
- Reasoning: Bearish macro environment, higher timeframe downtrend, and weak technical structure make this a low probability setup
