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03/12 - Trade analysis of SOLUSDT.P

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: UNSUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: BORDERLINE
  • Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Significantly reduces confidence due to risk-off sentiment and potential for further equity weakness

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
  • Sector Trend: WEAKENING
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING
  • Correlations: Potential for increased correlation with equities in risk-off environment

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Ascending Channel
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: PARTIAL
  • Historical Reliability: Low reliability in current risk-off market conditions

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price below 20 EMA on 1H and 4H, bearish alignment
  • Fvg Context: Potential downside FVG around $120
  • Atr Context: Increased volatility unfavorable for clean channel continuation

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: NEUTRAL
  • H4 Bias: BEARISH
  • Daily Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: CONTRADICTORY

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: LOW - Macro headwinds and higher timeframe bearish bias
  • False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Potential for failed breakout due to risk-off sentiment
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - Liquidity below 120.00 likely to be targeted
  • Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before pattern likely invalidated

Trade Decision

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