Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
- Volatility Suitability: UNSUITABLE
- Liquidity Sufficiency: INSUFFICIENT
- Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
- Macro Confidence Impact: The current risk-off sentiment and capital flow from alts to BTC significantly reduces confidence in this altcoin pattern
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
- Sector Trend: WEAKENING
- Volume Profile: CONCERNING
- Correlations: Negative correlation with BTC dominance, positive correlation with overall market weakness
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Contracting)
- Formation Quality: LOW
- Completion Status: PARTIAL
- Historical Reliability: Low reliability in current risk-off market conditions
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: DIVERGING
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK
- Ema Relationship: Price below all major EMAs (20, 50, 200) across timeframes
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in the immediate vicinity
- Atr Context: Current low volatility unfavorable for clean breakouts
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: NEUTRAL
- H4 Bias: BEARISH
- Daily Bias: BEARISH
- Alignment Score: CONTRADICTORY
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: LOW - pattern contradicts higher timeframe trends and macro environment
- False Breakout Risk: HIGH - low volume and bearish higher timeframes increase likelihood of failed breakout
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - tight range increases risk of stop hunts below support
- Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 24-48 hours, otherwise consider failed
Trade Decision
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