Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED
- Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
- Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
- Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
- Macro Confidence Impact: Bearish macro environment reduces confidence in bullish pattern
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
- Sector Trend: WEAKENING
- Volume Profile: CONCERNING
- Correlations: Strong BTC-SPX correlation suggests downside risk
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Contracting)
- Formation Quality: MODERATE
- Completion Status: PARTIAL
- Historical Reliability: Low reliability in current bearish macro conditions
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: NEUTRAL
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK
- Ema Relationship: Price below 50 EMA on 4H and 1D, bearish
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible
- Atr Context: Current volatility supports potential breakout, but direction uncertain
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: BULLISH
- H4 Bias: BEARISH
- Daily Bias: BEARISH
- Alignment Score: CONTRADICTORY
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: LOW - Bearish higher timeframes override 1H bullish pattern
- False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Lack of volume and macro alignment increase fakeout risk
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - 20000 psychological level likely to attract stop hunts
- Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 48-72 hours or be considered failed
Trade Decision
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