Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED
- Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
- Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
- Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE
- Macro Confidence Impact: The risk-off sentiment and bearish BTC trend strongly support a short bias on altcoins like SUI
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE
- Sector Trend: WEAKENING
- Volume Profile: MIXED
- Correlations: Strong positive correlation with BTC, negative correlation with DXY
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Diverging Triangle
- Formation Quality: MODERATE
- Completion Status: COMPLETE
- Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in bearish market conditions, but prone to false breakouts
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK
- Ema Relationship: Price below all major EMAs (20/50/200) across timeframes, bearish
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs nearby to impact pattern
- Atr Context: Elevated volatility supports potential for sharp moves, favoring shorts
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: BEARISH
- H4 Bias: BEARISH
- Daily Bias: BEARISH
- Alignment Score: STRONG
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: MODERATE (60-70%) - Pattern is complete but lacks strong volume confirmation
- False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Diverging triangles are prone to false breakouts, especially in volatile conditions
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - The 2.50 level could be a target for stop hunts before a larger move down
- Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 24-48 hours, otherwise consider it failed
Trade Decision
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