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03/15 - Trade analysis of TURBOUSDT.P

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: UNSUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: INSUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
  • Macro Confidence Impact: The current consolidating market with slight bearish bias contradicts the potential bullish breakout from the ascending triangle pattern on TURBOUSDT

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
  • Sector Trend: WEAKENING
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING
  • Correlations: BTC consolidation likely to suppress altcoin breakouts

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Contracting)
  • Formation Quality: LOW
  • Completion Status: PARTIAL
  • Historical Reliability: Low reliability in current bearish market conditions

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price below 20 EMA on 4H and 1D timeframes, bearish
  • Fvg Context: No significant fair value gaps visible
  • Atr Context: Low volatility environment unfavorable for breakout patterns

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: NEUTRAL
  • H4 Bias: BEARISH
  • Daily Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: CONTRADICTORY

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: LOW - Higher timeframes show strong bearish trend
  • False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Lack of volume and bearish higher timeframes
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - Potential for stops above 0.00230
  • Time Decay Risk: 48 hours before considering pattern failed

Trade Decision

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