03/16 - Trade analysis of SCRUSDT.P

Market Context

Macro Analysis Alignment

• Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
• Volatility Suitability: UNSUITABLE
• Liquidity Sufficiency: INSUFFICIENT
• Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
• Macro Confidence Impact: The macro analysis suggests a risk-on environment with BTC bullish momentum, which contradicts the bearish pattern observed in SCRUSDT.P

Technical Environment

• Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
• Sector Trend: WEAKENING
• Volume Profile: CONCERNING
• Correlations: BTC showing strength while SCRUSDT.P remains in a downtrend

Pattern Critical Analysis

Classification

• Pattern Type: Ascending Channel
• Formation Quality: LOW
• Completion Status: PARTIAL
• Historical Reliability: Low reliability in current market conditions

Technical Validation

• Rsi Confirmation: DIVERGING
• Volume Confirmation: WEAK
• Ema Relationship: Price below all major EMAs across timeframes
• Fvg Context: No significant Fair Value Gaps visible
• Atr Context: Current volatility unfavorable for this pattern type

Multi Timeframe Assessment

Timeframe Alignment

• H1 Bias: NEUTRAL
• H4 Bias: BEARISH
• Daily Bias: BEARISH
• Alignment Score: CONTRADICTORY

Key Levels

• Support Zones: NA
• Resistance Zones: NA
• Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment

• Completion Probability: LOW - pattern contradicts higher timeframe trends and macro environment
• False Breakout Risk: HIGH - weak volume and bearish higher timeframes increase likelihood of failure
• Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - potential for stops to be targeted below 0.3200
• Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 24-48 hours or be considered failed

Trade Decision