2 min read

03/17 - Trade analysis of PEPEUSDT

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk mode
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current volatility
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
  • Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
  • Macro Confidence Impact: The neutral bias with bullish tilt for crypto supports the ascending triangle pattern, increasing confidence

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE to this setup
  • Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
  • Volume Profile: MIXED
  • Correlations: BTC consolidation and USD weakness supportive of altcoin strength

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Contracting)
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: PARTIAL
  • Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in bullish crypto environments with BTC consolidation

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
  • Volume Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Ema Relationship: Price above 20 and 50 EMA on 1H, bullish alignment
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in the immediate vicinity
  • Atr Context: Current volatility supportive of gradual pattern completion

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: BULLISH
  • H4 Bias: BULLISH
  • Daily Bias: NEUTRAL
  • Alignment Score: MODERATE

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: MODERATE - pattern aligns with macro environment but lacks strong volume confirmation
  • False Breakout Risk: MODERATE - potential for fakeout at previous high of 0.00000760
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW - clear support established at triangle base
  • Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering pattern failed if no breakout occurs

Trade Decision

This post is for subscribers only