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03/18 - Trade analysis of SOLUSDT.P

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk mode
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current volatility
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
  • Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
  • Macro Confidence Impact: The improving liquidity conditions and potential breakout scenario support this ranging pattern, increasing confidence

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE to this setup
  • Sector Trend: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Profile: MIXED
  • Correlations: BTC consolidation between $80,000-$88,000 likely influencing SOL's range

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Ranging Channel
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: COMPLETE
  • Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in consolidation phases preceding potential breakouts

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price below 20 EMA on 1H and 4H, above on 1D, indicating mixed signals
  • Fvg Context: No significant Fair Value Gaps visible in the immediate vicinity
  • Atr Context: Current volatility supportive of ranging behavior

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: NEUTRAL
  • H4 Bias: BEARISH
  • Daily Bias: NEUTRAL
  • Alignment Score: WEAK

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: MODERATE - range likely to continue short-term but watch for breakout signals
  • False Breakout Risk: HIGH - multiple failed breakout attempts visible on 1H chart
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - range extremes susceptible to stop hunts
  • Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering pattern failed if no clear directional move

Trade Decision

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