Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk-on sentiment
- Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current moderate volatility
- Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
- Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
- Macro Confidence Impact: Positive impact on confidence due to risk-on sentiment and BTC consolidation with bullish bias
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE to this setup
- Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
- Volume Profile: MIXED
- Correlations: Negative correlation with DXY, positive with SPX
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Expanding)
- Formation Quality: MODERATE
- Completion Status: PARTIAL
- Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in risk-on environments with BTC strength
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK
- Ema Relationship: Price above 20 and 50 EMA on 1H and 4H, below 200 EMA on Daily
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs in immediate vicinity
- Atr Context: Current volatility supportive of gradual pattern development
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: BULLISH
- H4 Bias: BULLISH
- Daily Bias: NEUTRAL
- Alignment Score: MODERATE
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: MODERATE - pattern aligns with macro but lacks strong volume
- False Breakout Risk: MODERATE - due to weak volume and proximity to key resistance
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW - clear support established
- Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering pattern failed
Trade Decision
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