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03/23 - Trade analysis of JUPUSDT

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk mode
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current volatility
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
  • Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
  • Macro Confidence Impact: The slightly bullish bias and consolidation in the broader market supports this potential breakout setup, increasing confidence

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: NEUTRAL to this setup
  • Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
  • Volume Profile: MIXED
  • Correlations: Negative correlation to USD strength may support upward movement if USD continues to weaken

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Contracting)
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: PARTIAL
  • Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in consolidating markets with a slight bullish bias

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price above 20 and 50 EMA on 1H, bullish alignment
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in the immediate vicinity
  • Atr Context: Current volatility supportive of potential breakout

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: BULLISH
  • H4 Bias: NEUTRAL
  • Daily Bias: NEUTRAL
  • Alignment Score: MODERATE

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: MODERATE - pattern is well-formed but lacks strong volume confirmation
  • False Breakout Risk: MODERATE - lack of strong volume increases this risk
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW - no clear stop hunt levels visible
  • Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering the pattern failed

Trade Decision

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