Market Context
Macro Analysis Alignment
- Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk mode
- Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current volatility
- Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
- Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
- Macro Confidence Impact: The cautiously bullish market regime with consolidation supports this potential breakout pattern, increasing confidence
Technical Environment
- Btc Influence: NEUTRAL to this setup
- Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
- Volume Profile: MIXED
- Correlations: Potential positive correlation with SPX bullish breakout
Pattern Critical Analysis
Classification
- Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Expanding)
- Formation Quality: MODERATE
- Completion Status: PARTIAL
- Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in consolidating markets with bullish bias
Technical Validation
- Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
- Volume Confirmation: WEAK
- Ema Relationship: Price above 20 and 50 EMA on 1H, bullish alignment
- Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in the immediate vicinity
- Atr Context: Current volatility supports gradual expansion of the pattern
Multi Timeframe Assessment
Timeframe Alignment
- H1 Bias: BULLISH
- H4 Bias: NEUTRAL
- Daily Bias: NEUTRAL
- Alignment Score: MODERATE
Key Levels
- Support Zones: NA
- Resistance Zones: NA
- Liquidity Pools: NA
Probability Assessment
- Completion Probability: MODERATE - pattern is forming but lacks strong volume confirmation
- False Breakout Risk: MODERATE - lack of strong volume increases this risk
- Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW - current price away from major liquidity zones
- Time Decay Risk: 48-72 hours before considering the pattern failed if no breakout occurs
Trade Decision
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