2 min read

03/24 - Trade analysis of PEPEUSDT

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk-on mode
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current moderate volatility
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
  • Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE to pattern direction
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Positive - rising wedge aligns with overall bullish crypto sentiment and BTC strength

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE to this setup
  • Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
  • Volume Profile: MIXED
  • Correlations: Positive correlation with BTC's potential breakout above $90,000

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Rising Wedge (Contracting)
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: PARTIAL
  • Historical Reliability: Moderately reliable in bullish market conditions, but prone to false breakouts

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING - RSI showing bullish momentum
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK - volume declining within pattern
  • Ema Relationship: Price above 20 and 50 EMA on 1H and 4H, bullish
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible in immediate vicinity
  • Atr Context: Current volatility supportive of pattern continuation

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: BULLISH
  • H4 Bias: BULLISH
  • Daily Bias: NEUTRAL to slightly BULLISH
  • Alignment Score: MODERATE

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: MODERATE - 60% chance of reaching upper boundary
  • False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Rising wedges often lead to downside breakouts
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - Stops below 0.00000720 at risk
  • Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 24-48 hours or be considered failed

Trade Decision

This post is for subscribers only