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03/24 - Trade analysis of TURBOUSDT.P

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED with provided risk-on mode
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE for current moderate volatility
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT for trade execution
  • Money Flow Compatibility: NEUTRAL to pattern direction
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Moderately supportive due to overall crypto market strength, but TURBO's specific performance is lagging

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: NEUTRAL to this setup
  • Sector Trend: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING - declining volume
  • Correlations: Underperforming relative to broader crypto market

Pattern Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Pattern Type: Ascending Triangle (Expanding)
  • Formation Quality: LOW
  • Completion Status: PARTIAL
  • Historical Reliability: Low reliability in current market conditions due to weak momentum

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: DIVERGING - RSI showing downtrend while price attempts to form higher lows
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK - declining volume does not support pattern
  • Ema Relationship: Price below 20, 50, and 200 EMAs on all timeframes, bearish alignment
  • Fvg Context: No significant Fair Value Gaps affecting this pattern
  • Atr Context: Low volatility environment, unfavorable for breakout patterns

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • H1 Bias: NEUTRAL
  • H4 Bias: BEARISH
  • Daily Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: CONTRADICTORY

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Completion Probability: LOW - weak momentum and volume do not support pattern completion
  • False Breakout Risk: HIGH - low volume increases likelihood of false moves
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - tight range could lead to stop hunts in both directions
  • Time Decay Risk: Pattern should resolve within 24-48 hours or be considered failed

Trade Decision

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