2 min read

03/26 - Custom Trade analysis of PIUSDT (15m)

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: UNSUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: INSUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Significantly reduces setup confidence due to overall bearish trend and market conditions

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
  • Sector Trend: WEAKENING
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING
  • Correlations: Strong negative correlation with BTC and overall crypto market

Setup Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Setup Type: POTENTIAL_REVERSAL
  • Formation Quality: LOW
  • Completion Status: EARLY-STAGE
  • Historical Reliability: Poor reliability in current market conditions

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: DIVERGING
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price below all major EMAs across timeframes
  • Fvg Context: Multiple unfilled FVGs above current price
  • Atr Context: High volatility increasing risk

Fair Value Gap Analysis


  • Unmitigated Fvgs: NA
  • Fvg Alignment: Potential upside targets, but overall trend contradictory
  • Fvg Significance: Moderate size gaps, but in context of strong downtrend
  • Retracement Potential: High likelihood of short-term retracement to fill lower FVGs
  • Fvg Based Targets: NA

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • Main Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Second Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Third Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: STRONG

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Success Probability: LOW - Strong downtrend across all timeframes
  • False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Any upward movement likely to be short-lived
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: HIGH - Potential for stops above recent highs to be targeted
  • Time Decay Risk: Extended timeframe for potential reversal
  • Short Term Retracement Probability: MODERATE - Oversold conditions may lead to brief relief rally

Trade Decision

This post is for subscribers only