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03/27 - Custom Trade analysis of PIUSDT (15m)

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: NEUTRAL
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: NEUTRAL
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Neutral impact on setup confidence

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: NEUTRAL
  • Sector Trend: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Profile: MIXED
  • Correlations: No strong correlations evident

Setup Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Setup Type: POTENTIAL_REVERSAL
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: EARLY-STAGE
  • Historical Reliability: Moderate reliability for short-term reversals

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
  • Volume Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Ema Relationship: Price above short-term EMAs on 15m, below on higher timeframes
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible
  • Atr Context: Moderate volatility, suitable for reversal setup

Fair Value Gap Analysis


  • Unmitigated Fvgs: NA
  • Fvg Alignment: N/A
  • Fvg Significance: Low significance due to absence of clear FVGs
  • Retracement Potential: Low short-term retracement likelihood
  • Fvg Based Targets: NA

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • Main Timeframe Bias: BULLISH
  • Second Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Third Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: WEAK

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Success Probability: MODERATE - Short-term bullish momentum on 15m, but higher timeframes remain bearish
  • False Breakout Risk: HIGH - Lack of alignment across timeframes increases false breakout risk
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: MODERATE - Potential stop cluster below 0.80 could be targeted
  • Time Decay Risk: Expected resolution within 24-48 hours
  • Short Term Retracement Probability: Moderate likelihood of retracement to 0.85 resistance

Trade Decision

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