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04/03 - Custom Trade analysis of FARTCOINUSDT (15m)

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: UNSUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: INSUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: CONTRADICTORY
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Significantly reduces setup confidence due to bearish market conditions

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: CONTRADICTORY
  • Sector Trend: WEAKENING
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING
  • Correlations: Strong negative correlation with BTC, overall crypto market weakness

Setup Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Setup Type: DOWNTREND_CONTINUATION
  • Formation Quality: HIGH
  • Completion Status: COMPLETE
  • Historical Reliability: Strong bearish momentum historically follows such sharp declines

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
  • Volume Confirmation: STRONG
  • Ema Relationship: Bearish alignment across all timeframes
  • Fvg Context: Multiple downside FVGs supporting bearish continuation
  • Atr Context: Elevated volatility favoring bearish moves

Fair Value Gap Analysis


  • Unmitigated Fvgs: NA
  • Fvg Alignment: Strongly aligned with downward movement
  • Fvg Significance: Large gaps indicating significant bearish pressure
  • Retracement Potential: Low likelihood of significant upward retracement
  • Fvg Based Targets: NA

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • Main Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Second Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Third Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Alignment Score: STRONG

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Success Probability: HIGH - Strong bearish trend across all timeframes
  • False Breakout Risk: LOW - Clear downtrend with little sign of reversal
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW - Bearish momentum likely to continue
  • Time Decay Risk: Expected resolution within 24-48 hours
  • Short Term Retracement Probability: LOW - Strong bearish momentum

Trade Decision

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