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04/04 - Custom Trade analysis of BTCUSDT (1D)

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: MISALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: NEUTRAL
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Slightly negative due to misalignment with risk mode

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: NEUTRAL
  • Sector Trend: WEAKENING
  • Volume Profile: CONCERNING
  • Correlations: Potential negative correlation with traditional markets

Setup Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Setup Type: POTENTIAL_REVERSAL
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: EARLY-STAGE
  • Historical Reliability: Moderate success rate in similar market conditions

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price below 50 and 200 EMA, bearish
  • Fvg Context: No significant FVGs visible on main timeframe
  • Atr Context: Decreasing volatility, potential for range-bound movement

Fair Value Gap Analysis


  • Unmitigated Fvgs: NA
  • Fvg Alignment: Not applicable due to lack of significant FVGs
  • Fvg Significance: Low significance
  • Retracement Potential: Low likelihood of FVG-based retracement
  • Fvg Based Targets: NA

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • Main Timeframe Bias: BEARISH
  • Second Timeframe Context: NEUTRAL
  • Third Timeframe Context: NA
  • Alignment Impact: Weekly timeframe shows potential support, may limit downside

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Success Probability: MODERATE, bearish trend on main timeframe but potential support on weekly
  • False Breakout Risk: MODERATE, due to decreasing volatility and potential range formation
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW, clear support levels visible
  • Time Decay Risk: 1-3 days for potential setup confirmation
  • Short Term Retracement Probability: MODERATE, potential for range-bound movement

Trade Decision

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