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04/07 - Custom Trade analysis of PIUSDT (15m)

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: NEUTRAL
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: NEUTRAL
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Neutral impact on setup confidence

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: NEUTRAL
  • Sector Trend: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Profile: MIXED
  • Correlations: Weak correlation with overall market

Setup Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Setup Type: RANGE_BREAKOUT
  • Formation Quality: MODERATE
  • Completion Status: EARLY-STAGE
  • Historical Reliability: Moderate success rate for similar patterns

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: NEUTRAL
  • Volume Confirmation: WEAK
  • Ema Relationship: Price above 20 EMA, below 50 EMA on 15m
  • Fvg Context: Small FVG above current price on 15m
  • Atr Context: Low volatility, potential for expansion

Fair Value Gap Analysis


  • Unmitigated Fvgs: NA
  • Fvg Alignment: Slightly bullish
  • Fvg Significance: Small size, moderate importance
  • Retracement Potential: Low likelihood of short-term retracement
  • Fvg Based Targets: NA

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • Main Timeframe Bias: BULLISH
  • Second Timeframe Context: NEUTRAL
  • Third Timeframe Context: BEARISH
  • Alignment Impact: Higher timeframes suggest caution for main timeframe bullish bias

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Success Probability: MODERATE - Potential for short-term upside, but higher timeframe resistance
  • False Breakout Risk: MODERATE - Recent consolidation may lead to fakeout
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW - Clear support levels below
  • Time Decay Risk: 12-24 hours for potential resolution
  • Short Term Retracement Probability: LOW - Price at lower range, more likely to continue up

Trade Decision

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