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04/15 - Custom Trade analysis of BTCUSDT (1h)

Market Context


Macro Analysis Alignment

  • Risk Mode Alignment: ALIGNED
  • Volatility Suitability: SUITABLE
  • Liquidity Sufficiency: SUFFICIENT
  • Money Flow Compatibility: SUPPORTIVE
  • Macro Confidence Impact: Positive impact on setup confidence due to aligned risk sentiment and supportive market conditions

Technical Environment

  • Btc Influence: SUPPORTIVE
  • Sector Trend: STRENGTHENING
  • Volume Profile: HEALTHY
  • Correlations: Positive correlation with overall crypto market strength

Setup Critical Analysis


Classification

  • Setup Type: BULLISH_BREAKOUT
  • Formation Quality: HIGH
  • Completion Status: COMPLETE
  • Historical Reliability: Strong performance in similar market conditions

Technical Validation

  • Rsi Confirmation: CONFIRMING
  • Volume Confirmation: STRONG
  • Ema Relationship: 20 EMA above 50 EMA, both trending upwards
  • Fvg Context: Potential upside FVG above current price
  • Atr Context: Volatility supportive of momentum continuation

Fair Value Gap Analysis


  • Unmitigated Fvgs: NA
  • Fvg Alignment: Aligned with bullish trade direction
  • Fvg Significance: Moderate size, important for short-term price targets
  • Retracement Potential: Low short-term retracement likelihood
  • Fvg Based Targets: NA

Multi Timeframe Assessment


Timeframe Alignment

  • Main Timeframe Bias: BULLISH
  • Second Timeframe Context: SUPPORTIVE
  • Third Timeframe Context: SUPPORTIVE
  • Alignment Impact: Higher timeframes confirm and strengthen the main timeframe bullish setup

Key Levels

  • Support Zones: NA
  • Resistance Zones: NA
  • Liquidity Pools: NA

Probability Assessment


  • Success Probability: HIGH due to strong trend continuation and multi-timeframe alignment
  • False Breakout Risk: LOW given the strength of the uptrend and volume confirmation
  • Stop Hunt Vulnerability: LOW as key support levels are well-defined
  • Time Decay Risk: Expected resolution within 24-48 hours
  • Short Term Retracement Probability: LOW given the strength of the current momentum

Trade Decision

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